Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.142416 0.161920 0.183498 0.209209 0.239091 0.272825 0.313933
2026-02-01 0.110343 0.136030 0.167191 0.208059 0.260662 0.326650 0.416581
2026-02-08 0.090985 0.118879 0.155055 0.205997 0.276823 0.373213 0.516740
2026-02-15 0.077655 0.106187 0.145194 0.203343 0.289434 0.414774 0.615915
2026-02-22 0.069923 0.099450 0.141710 0.207953 0.311686 0.472233 0.748285
2026-03-01 0.061920 0.090995 0.134234 0.204954 0.321144 0.510760 0.857228
2026-03-08 0.056219 0.085108 0.129600 0.205274 0.335290 0.558336 0.990266
2026-03-15 0.051360 0.079857 0.125156 0.205006 0.347966 0.604891 1.130475
2026-03-22 0.048128 0.076778 0.123732 0.209427 0.369185 0.669862 1.319823
2026-03-29 0.045059 0.073591 0.121680 0.212320 0.387808 0.732794 1.518906
2026-04-05 0.042290 0.070593 0.119563 0.214699 0.405615 0.796914 1.735302
2026-04-12 0.040210 0.068562 0.118885 0.219607 0.429039 0.876575 2.006818
2026-04-19 0.037679 0.065525 0.116137 0.220301 0.444280 0.942301 2.264379
2026-04-26 0.035290 0.062523 0.113150 0.220157 0.457789 1.006940 2.537912
2026-05-03 0.032932 0.059352 0.109501 0.218151 0.466819 1.062750 2.803554
2026-05-10 0.030730 0.056274 0.105715 0.215354 0.473558 1.114200 3.071900
2026-05-17 0.029539 0.055050 0.105496 0.220282 0.499352 1.219309 3.535013
2026-05-24 0.027660 0.052292 0.101863 0.217081 0.504701 1.271328 3.846339
2026-05-31 0.026274 0.050411 0.099878 0.217423 0.519080 1.351266 4.278553
2026-06-07 0.024949 0.048543 0.097741 0.217137 0.531795 1.429235 4.731881
2026-06-14 0.024134 0.047673 0.097679 0.221856 0.558765 1.555608 5.413541
2026-06-21 0.023245 0.046570 0.096995 0.224946 0.581783 1.675261 6.118110
2026-06-28 0.022376 0.045437 0.096136 0.227486 0.603712 1.796777 6.882890